Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores Fase 3. Final

Global 3-5

San Lorenzo vs Santos FC analysis

San Lorenzo Santos FC
78 ELO 83
-0.6% Tilt -20.2%
114º General ELO ranking 134º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
33.4%
San Lorenzo
26.7%
Draw
39.9%
Santos FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
San Lorenzo
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.9%
Win probability
Santos FC
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Lorenzo
-8%
+2%
Santos FC

ELO progression

San Lorenzo
Santos FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2021
SLO
San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Rosario Central
CEN
55%
24%
21%
78 74 4 0
30 Mar. 2021
EST
Estudiantes La Plata
0 - 2
San Lorenzo
SLO
42%
30%
29%
77 77 0 +1
25 Mar. 2021
SLO
San Lorenzo
0 - 2
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
39%
26%
35%
78 81 3 -1
21 Mar. 2021
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 2
Aldosivi
ALD
66%
21%
14%
78 68 10 0
18 Mar. 2021
SLO
San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Univ de Chile
UCH
51%
24%
25%
78 74 4 0

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2021
LAR
Deportivo Lara
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
25%
27%
48%
83 73 10 0
13 Mar. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Ituano
ITU
83%
12%
5%
83 58 25 0
09 Mar. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Deportivo Lara
LAR
67%
20%
13%
83 73 10 0
06 Mar. 2021
SAO
São Paulo
4 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
48%
25%
27%
83 84 1 0
03 Mar. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Ferroviária
FER
85%
11%
4%
83 57 26 0
X