San Lorenzo vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
COL
0 - 0
SLO
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
SLO
1 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
SMA
2 - 0
SLO
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
SLO
0 - 5
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
QUI
1 - 0
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
SMA
1 - 1
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
ALV
2 - 4
SMA
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
SMA
1 - 1
RIV
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
COL
2 - 2
SMA
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SMA
1 - 2
SMA
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |