San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
ATT
1 - 3
SLO
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SLO
2 - 2
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SLO
0 - 2
TAL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
SLO
0 - 0
ALD
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
EST
0 - 0
SLO
38%
29%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
GLP
2 - 2
TAL
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 1
GLP
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
COL
0 - 2
GLP
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GLP
0 - 0
HUR
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 1
GLP
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |