Copa Libertadores Grupo F. Jor. 4

San Lorenzo vs FBC Melgar analysis

San Lorenzo FBC Melgar
80 ELO 72
-10.1% Tilt -19.3%
112º General ELO ranking 457º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.2%
San Lorenzo
24.9%
Draw
18.8%
FBC Melgar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
San Lorenzo
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.8%
Win probability
FBC Melgar
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Lorenzo
-8%
+1%
FBC Melgar

ELO progression

San Lorenzo
FBC Melgar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2019
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
0 - 0
San Lorenzo
SLO
33%
28%
40%
80 69 11 0
03 Apr. 2019
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
24%
28%
48%
79 89 10 +1
30 Mar. 2019
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Gimnasia La Plata
GLP
57%
25%
18%
79 73 6 0
24 Mar. 2019
COL
Colón
1 - 1
San Lorenzo
SLO
38%
29%
33%
79 76 3 0
17 Mar. 2019
CEN
Rosario Central
0 - 1
San Lorenzo
SLO
38%
29%
33%
78 76 2 +1

Matches

FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2019
MAN
CA Manucci
0 - 1
FBC Melgar
MEL
44%
25%
31%
72 65 7 0
03 Apr. 2019
MEL
FBC Melgar
1 - 0
Junior
JUN
35%
27%
38%
71 80 9 +1
31 Mar. 2019
MEL
FBC Melgar
3 - 1
Univ. San Martín
SAM
56%
24%
20%
71 65 6 0
23 Mar. 2019
PIR
Pirata FC
2 - 0
FBC Melgar
MEL
31%
30%
39%
72 62 10 -1
21 Mar. 2019
MEL
FBC Melgar
1 - 1
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
55%
24%
21%
72 68 4 0
X