San Lorenzo vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SLO
0 - 2
TAL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
SLO
0 - 0
ALD
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
EST
0 - 0
SLO
38%
29%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
SLO
2 - 0
ARG
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 4
SLO
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
COL
0 - 2
GLP
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
CCS
0 - 2
COL
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
COL
1 - 2
IND
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
CCS
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |