San Lorenzo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SLO
1 - 1
OLI
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
SLO
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SLO
12%
22%
66%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SLO
2 - 0
ARS
43%
29%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
ATT
2 - 4
RIV
27%
28%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
GIM
73%
19%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
RIV
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
INS
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 0
HUR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |