San Lorenzo Alem vs Vélez de San Ramón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AMT
0 - 4
SLO
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 2
AND
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SMB
0 - 2
SLO
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
SLO
2 - 1
CUS
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CDI
0 - 0
SLO
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez de San Ramón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VSR
3 - 2
AMT
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AND
2 - 0
VSR
45%
26%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VSR
1 - 1
SMB
35%
23%
41%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
VSR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VSR
3 - 1
CAT
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |