San Ignacio vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Ignacio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
SOD
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SOD
1 - 1
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
JUV
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARI
1 - 5
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GER
3 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 0
ARI
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GER
5 - 0
ARI
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARI
1 - 5
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LON
1 - 1
ARI
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARI
2 - 1
TOL
38%
24%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |