San Francisco II vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UDP
1 - 1
SFF
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SAP
1 - 1
SFF
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
3 - 1
HFC
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 0
ACH
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 2
CDU
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 2
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
ACH
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
AFM
0 - 1
NAC
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
HFC
1 - 2
NAC
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
VCD
76%
17%
8%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |