San Diego Loyal vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
SDL
1 - 0
ORS
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
LVG
1 - 2
SDL
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SDL
2 - 1
ARI
24%
27%
49%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SDL
2 - 1
LAG
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 1
SDL
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 2
ARI
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
SAC
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 3
ORA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 3
ORS
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 1
ARI
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |