Samsung Vác FC vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samsung Vác FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FHV
1 - 0
SAM
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SAM
2 - 2
TAT
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2006 |
DVS
4 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SAM
3 - 1
BUD
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 1
KAP
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MTK
2 - 0
KAP
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 5
MTK
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MTK
1 - 0
PAK
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
PEC
0 - 1
MTK
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
MTK
4 - 1
SOP
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |