Sampdoria vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAM
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SAM
3 - 1
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAM
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
SAM
1 - 0
TOR
49%
23%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACM
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ACM
5 - 0
PAL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACM
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ACM
5 - 1
ATL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |