Sampdoria vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAM
52%
29%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAZ
42%
30%
29%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
SAM
1 - 1
GEN
58%
26%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
ATL
1 - 3
SAM
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SAM
2 - 1
VIC
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
51%
29%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
VAR
2 - 2
RIM
60%
26%
14%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
VIC
1 - 0
VAR
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 3
SPA
49%
31%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 0
BAR
51%
30%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |