Sampaio Correa vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 1
SAM
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TOM
3 - 0
SAM
41%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAM
4 - 1
SPO
36%
31%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
LON
1 - 0
SAM
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 1
VAS
28%
29%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
CSA
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BAH
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
CRB
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
BAH
29%
29%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |