Samger vs Steve Biko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 4
ARM
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 1
GPA
36%
33%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 1
SAM
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 2
FAL
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
GAM
30%
30%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Steve Biko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
STE
2 - 1
WAA
34%
33%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
ARM
4 - 1
STE
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RHI
0 - 2
STE
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
STE
0 - 0
RHI
32%
31%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
STE
2 - 0
FOR
34%
32%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |