Samger vs Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
30.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
SAM
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 2
PSV
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
REA
2 - 2
SAM
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 0
SAM
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
TAL
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
1 - 0
TAL
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAN
0 - 0
HAW
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
0 - 0
BRI
31%
31%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
1 - 1
GAM
33%
30%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BKM
0 - 0
HAW
57%
26%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |