Samaritaine vs Cavaly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
69.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
ASG
41%
27%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
DON
2 - 2
SAM
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
TRE
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +4 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
ASP
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
4 - 0
USR
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
CAV
2 - 1
HIF
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 15 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
CAV
5 - 0
CSC
85%
12%
3%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
CAV
3 - 0
SCH
84%
13%
3%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
CAP
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 1
ASM
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |