Sámano vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
65.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
14º
8º
52
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 0
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
CAS
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAM
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 4
CAY
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAM
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 1
SDT
72%
17%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 4
TRO
9%
15%
75%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 0
TEX
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 0
TRO
26%
21%
52%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
TRO
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |