Sámano vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
3 - 0
VEL
62%
19%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
REV
59%
20%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAM
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
CUL
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RIN
1 - 1
ESC
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
REV
1 - 0
RIN
50%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
RIN
0 - 1
RAC
22%
22%
55%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CUL
1 - 0
RIN
62%
20%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RIN
0 - 1
SDT
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |