Sámano vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
14º
8º
30
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAM
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 4
CAY
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAM
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
REV
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
SOL
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
SDT
36%
27%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 3
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
TEX
27%
25%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ESC
4 - 1
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 1
CAS
78%
14%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |