Série D Brazil Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 7-4
Salgueiro vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 3
SAL
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
ARN
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 1
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 3
SAL
34%
27%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
28%
27%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
AFP
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 3
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
POT
1 - 1
VIT
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |