Salgueiro vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
ARN
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 1
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 1
AFO
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
0 - 3
SAL
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
GLO
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FLO
1 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 3
ARN
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |