St Geneviève vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
12º
31
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
REI
0 - 1
STG
36%
26%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STG
4 - 1
FCS
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STG
0 - 0
LUS
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
STG
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRC
3 - 2
STG
20%
27%
53%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MET
2 - 3
FLE
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MET
0 - 1
SML
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOB
2 - 0
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MET
2 - 2
BEL
49%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REI
1 - 3
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |