Saint Renan U19 vs Avranches U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+417%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
14º
13º
30
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
79% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Renan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SRS
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
4 - 3
BER
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 2
SRS
79%
14%
8%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
SRS
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SRS
0 - 1
REN
10%
15%
76%
|
8 | 40 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
REN
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 1
AVR
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 2
NAN
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
AVR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 1
LOR
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |