Saint Mary's vs San Francisco Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Mary's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SMG
3 - 1
SCB
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SMG
2 - 0
GBD
84%
10%
5%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SDT
0 - 0
SMG
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
USB
4 - 0
SMG
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PTG
0 - 1
SFD
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SFD
2 - 3
SDT
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SFD
2 - 0
SCB
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GBD
0 - 1
SFD
13%
17%
71%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SFD
1 - 0
PTG
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |