Saint Louis vs Sporting Kansas City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
3 - 0
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
3 - 2
SPK
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
LOU
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
PIT
2 - 2
LOU
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 2
TUL
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
SPK
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LOU
3 - 2
SPK
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
TUL
1 - 2
SPK
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SPK
3 - 0
OKC
61%
21%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 1
SPK
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |