St. Louis II vs Chicago Fire II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
5 - 1
STL
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STL
2 - 0
NOT
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 2
STL
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
STL
1 - 2
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
STL
2 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ROC
1 - 1
CHI
53%
26%
22%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 4
ORL
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 3
CHI
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
IMI
3 - 1
CHI
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CHI
4 - 3
NER
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |