Saint Laurent Billère vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
POI
2 - 0
BAY
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAY
4 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
CNF
1 - 0
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LEG
1 - 1
BAY
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BAY
3 - 0
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |