Saint-Étienne vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 0
REN
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
ASS
27%
28%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 3
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 0
MAR
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 3
LYO
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LMU
0 - 3
LOR
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 2
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 2
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GIR
4 - 1
LOR
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |