Saint-Étienne vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
4 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
MET
0 - 0
ASS
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
ASN
2 - 0
ASS
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 0
NAN
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 0
NÎM
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
NAN
3 - 1
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
NIC
5 - 0
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NÎM
3 - 1
BAS
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |