St Albans Saints vs North Geelong Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Albans Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
STA
78%
13%
8%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
KIN
2 - 7
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
AVH
6%
13%
82%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STA
0 - 2
EBB
3%
11%
86%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
MAI
8%
17%
75%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 0
HEU
7%
12%
80%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
6 - 0
NGW
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 3
MEL
8%
14%
77%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
NGW
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 0
MCF
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |