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J1 League. Matchday 13

Sagan Tosu Sanfrecce Hiroshima
41 ELO 47
8% Tilt 16%
1964º General ELO ranking 1423º
22º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
40.6%
Sagan Tosu
25.8%
Draw
33.6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.6%
Win probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sagan Tosu
+27%
+1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Basic stats

62
38
POS
11
9
SOT
7
3
COR
8
7
FRK
41
47
ELO
1.4
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Sagan Tosu
Their league position
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
23
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kawasaki Frontale
45
83
76%
Yokohama F. Marinos
34
80
36%
Nagoya Grampus
34
60
9%
Sagan Tosu
33
63
8%
Avispa Fukuoka
29
56
7%
Vissel Kobe
28
63
7%
Urawa Reds
28
53
11º
7%
Kashima Antlers
24
58
6%
Cerezo Osaka
23
56
7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10º
23
51
12º
6%
Consadole Sapporo
11º
22
60
6%
FC Tokyo
12º
22
54
10º
6%
Tokushima Vortis
13º
19
43
13º
7%
Shonan Bellmare
14º
17
38
15º
7%
Shimizu S-Pulse
15º
15
37
16º
8%
Kashiwa Reysol
16º
14
40
14º
7%
Gamba Osaka
17º
13
27
19º
9%
Vegalta Sendai
18º
13
36
17º
8%
Oita Trinita
19º
12
34
18º
9%
Yokohama
20º
7
25
20º
23%
Expected probabilities
Sagan Tosu
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Champion
6% 0%
AFC Champions League
21% 7%
Mid-table
66% 75%
Relegation
7% 18%

ELO progression

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
Sagan Tosu
SAG
Gamba Osaka
GAM
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
Consadole Sapporo
CON
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
51%
25%
23%
664 795 131 -5
01 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
44%
27%
29%
653 796 -143 +10
28 Apr. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 2
Kashima Antlers
KAA
36%
27%
37%
651 1116 -465 +2
24 Apr. 2021
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 2
Sagan Tosu
SAG
51%
25%
24%
643 875 232 +8
21 Apr. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
49%
26%
25%
650 552 98 -6

Matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2021
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
40%
28%
32%
793 1045 -252 +1
01 May. 2021
VIS
Vissel Kobe
3 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
47%
27%
26%
802 831 29 -10
28 Apr. 2021
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
40%
28%
32%
797 552 -245 +6
24 Apr. 2021
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
51%
25%
24%
804 559 245 -8
21 Apr. 2021
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 - 1
Vegalta Sendai
VEG
56%
25%
20%
812 508 304 -7