Sagan Tosu vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CER
0 - 1
SAG
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
SAG
0 - 1
KAW
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VIS
0 - 1
SAG
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FCT
0 - 2
SAG
42%
24%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
SAG
2 - 0
SHI
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 1
FCY
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
VEG
3 - 3
NAG
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 1
TOK
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
URA
5 - 2
NAG
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 0
KAR
42%
24%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |