Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAG
59%
21%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 1
URA
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 3
SAG
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCT
3 - 2
SAG
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 2
JUB
26%
24%
51%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
KAW
0 - 1
JUB
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
KAW
33%
22%
45%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
KAW
3 - 2
VEG
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
OMI
0 - 2
KAW
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
KAW
0 - 3
URA
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |