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J1 League. Matchday 15

Sagan Tosu Kashima Antlers
41 ELO 54
0% Tilt 58%
1994º General ELO ranking 746º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.6%
Sagan Tosu
21.7%
Draw
54.6%
Kashima Antlers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.6%
Win probability
Kashima Antlers
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sagan Tosu
+16%
+24%
Kashima Antlers

Basic stats

60
40
POS
11
7
SOT
9
3
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
12
18
FRK
41
54
ELO
1.2
2
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Sagan Tosu
Their league position
Kashima Antlers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
27
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kawasaki Frontale
52
89
86%
Nagoya Grampus
37
63
17%
Yokohama F. Marinos
34
79
2%
Sagan Tosu
33
61
10%
Avispa Fukuoka
29
54
7%
Vissel Kobe
28
58
7%
Urawa Reds
28
53
10º
7%
Kashima Antlers
27
62
6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26
51
12º
6%
Cerezo Osaka
10º
23
54
6%
Consadole Sapporo
11º
22
57
6%
FC Tokyo
12º
22
53
11º
7%
Tokushima Vortis
13º
19
42
13º
7%
Shonan Bellmare
14º
18
39
14º
8%
Shimizu S-Pulse
15º
15
34
16º
9%
Gamba Osaka
16º
14
28
19º
8%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
14
36
15º
9%
Vegalta Sendai
18º
14
34
17º
9%
Oita Trinita
19º
12
31
18º
8%
Yokohama
20º
7
25
20º
25%
Expected probabilities
Sagan Tosu
Kashima Antlers
Champion
1% 1%
AFC Champions League
21% 28%
Mid-table
71% 68%
Relegation
6% 3%

ELO progression

Kashima Antlers
KAA
Sagan Tosu
SAG
Consadole Sapporo
CON
Cerezo Osaka
CER
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2021
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
4 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
46%
27%
28%
660 598 -62 -11
15 May. 2021
OIT
Oita Trinita
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
47%
27%
26%
659 663 4 0
08 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
44%
27%
29%
658 794 -136 0
05 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
51%
25%
23%
664 795 131 -5
01 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
44%
27%
29%
653 796 -143 +10

Matches

Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers
1%
X%
2%
ELO KAA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
0 - 0
Kashima Antlers
KAA
39%
28%
33%
1145 802 -343 -1
15 May. 2021
KAA
Kashima Antlers
5 - 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
47%
27%
26%
1136 1052 84 +8
12 May. 2021
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
0 - 2
Kashima Antlers
KAA
35%
27%
37%
1129 631 -498 +6
09 May. 2021
KAA
Kashima Antlers
3 - 0
FC Tokyo
FCT
53%
26%
22%
1121 860 261 +8
05 May. 2021
KAA
Kashima Antlers
1 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
57%
23%
20%
1124 581 543 -2