Sagan Tosu vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
OMI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
KAA
0 - 0
SAG
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
VEG
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 1
SAG
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALB
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
JUB
3 - 0
KAA
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
JUB
2 - 2
URA
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
KAW
4 - 3
JUB
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CER
3 - 2
JUB
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
JUB
1 - 0
FCY
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |