Sagan Tosu vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VEG
1 - 0
SAG
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 2
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CER
4 - 1
SAG
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 3
FCY
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GIF
1 - 0
SAG
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SHO
2 - 1
FAG
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 0
VEG
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 0
VEN
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
KAT
1 - 1
FAG
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FAG
0 - 0
TOC
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |