Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 0
SAC
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 1
SAC
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 1
NYO
41%
24%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ORA
2 - 2
SAC
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
LVG
1 - 2
SAC
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
LVG
2 - 2
ARI
13%
21%
66%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
LVG
3 - 1
ORA
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MON
3 - 2
LVG
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
EPL
1 - 0
LVG
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
LVG
1 - 2
SAC
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |