Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SAC
2 - 0
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SJE
6 - 1
SAC
84%
12%
5%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ARI
1 - 0
SAC
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAC
4 - 0
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
LAG
5 - 0
LVG
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LVG
2 - 4
ORA
34%
24%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 2
LVG
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LVG
2 - 2
LAG
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ORA
1 - 0
LVG
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |