Sacavenense vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacavenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAC
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAC
3 - 0
AMO
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PER
1 - 4
SAC
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
SAC
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAC
7 - 2
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RAB
4 - 0
FAB
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AMO
2 - 2
FAB
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FAB
0 - 1
ANG
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PRA
3 - 0
FAB
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAB
5 - 1
PEN
82%
14%
5%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | 0 |