FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
10º
6º
38
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 3
SAB
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
GOR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
2 - 1
SHU
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 1
SAB
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
FTK
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 4
DBA
15%
24%
61%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FTK
3 - 1
GAG
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 5
DTB
15%
25%
60%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 0
GAG
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 4
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |