Sabugal SC vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sabugal SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PRA
3 - 2
SAB
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAB
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAB
3 - 0
OVI
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MED
1 - 1
SAB
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAB
4 - 1
PAL
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ADN
0 - 3
OLI
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
ADN
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ADN
0 - 1
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
ADN
51%
27%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ADN
0 - 0
MAF
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |