SA Mérignac U19 vs Stade Brestois U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
11º
34
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
50% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 3
ANG
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AVR
2 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
GUI
20%
23%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BER
1 - 1
SAM
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAV
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
STA
2 - 3
LOR
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
STA
2 - 3
ANG
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
AVR
5 - 1
STA
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STA
0 - 1
GUI
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |