Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda. Final
Global 3-2
Sūduva vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
KZA
1 - 0
SUD
10%
19%
72%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
KZA
0 - 3
SUD
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 1
ZAL
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 3
SUD
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
SUD
2 - 0
LIE
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
DOX
1 - 3
APO
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
APO
2 - 1
MTA
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
GDA
1 - 2
APO
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
ARK
2 - 0
APO
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
APO
2 - 1
ANO
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |