J2 League Temporada Regular. Jor. 42

Ryūkyū vs Machida Zelvia analysis

Ryūkyū Machida Zelvia
56 ELO 53
21.2% Tilt 16.7%
3006º General ELO ranking 638º
54º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
61.3%
Ryūkyū
20.4%
Draw
18.3%
Machida Zelvia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
Ryūkyū
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.3%
Win probability
Machida Zelvia
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ryūkyū
+28%
+17%
Machida Zelvia

ELO progression

Ryūkyū
Machida Zelvia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ryūkyū
Ryūkyū
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2020
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
0 - 2
Ryūkyū
RYK
53%
24%
23%
55 61 6 0
13 Dec. 2020
RYK
Ryūkyū
6 - 0
Ehime
EHI
64%
20%
17%
54 49 5 +1
06 Dec. 2020
RYK
Ryūkyū
1 - 1
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
51%
25%
24%
54 57 3 0
02 Dec. 2020
RYK
Ryūkyū
0 - 2
Zweigen Kanazawa
ZWE
51%
23%
26%
55 55 0 -1
29 Nov. 2020
RYK
Ryūkyū
4 - 0
Tokyo Verdy
TOK
39%
26%
35%
54 60 6 +1

Matches

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2020
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
3 - 2
Machida Zelvia
MAC
71%
18%
11%
53 65 12 0
13 Dec. 2020
MAC
Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
22%
26%
52%
52 62 10 +1
06 Dec. 2020
MAC
Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
Tokyo Verdy
TOK
26%
28%
47%
51 59 8 +1
02 Dec. 2020
MON
Montedio Yamagata
3 - 2
Machida Zelvia
MAC
64%
21%
14%
52 61 9 -1
29 Nov. 2020
MAC
Machida Zelvia
0 - 3
Thespa Gunma
THE
47%
27%
26%
53 50 3 -1
X