Ryūkyū vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
JUB
2 - 0
RYK
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RYK
0 - 1
THE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KYO
2 - 1
RYK
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VVA
3 - 1
RYK
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RYK
2 - 1
BLA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 1
BLA
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JUB
1 - 1
FAG
80%
15%
6%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 1
TOC
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 0
EHI
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 0
FAG
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |