RWD Molenbeek vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
1º
19
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RWD Molenbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
RWD
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ASN
3 - 3
RWD
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIS
1 - 2
RWD
11%
18%
71%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
RWD
1 - 3
RAY
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 1
RWD
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
4 - 0
WET
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 4
LOM
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
NIN
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 0
DEN
9%
16%
75%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
OUD
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |