Amistosos Selecciones Sub 21 Round 1

Rusia U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis

Rusia U21 Lituania U21
75 ELO 43
8.1% Tilt 4.7%
1548º General ELO ranking 7498º
12º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
85.5%
Rusia U21
10.8%
Draw
3.8%
Lituania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
Rusia U21
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.8%
Win probability
Lituania U21
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO progression

Rusia U21
Lituania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rusia U21
Rusia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2014
RUS
Rusia U21
3 - 0
Moldavia U21
MDA
83%
12%
5%
75 49 26 0
19 Nov. 2013
RUS
Rusia U21
1 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
86%
11%
4%
74 41 33 +1
15 Nov. 2013
SVN
Eslovenia U21
0 - 1
Rusia U21
RUS
22%
23%
54%
74 60 14 0
15 Oct. 2013
RUS
Rusia U21
0 - 2
Dinamarca U21
DEN
68%
19%
13%
75 65 10 -1
11 Oct. 2013
BGR
Bulgaria U21
3 - 3
Rusia U21
RUS
19%
23%
59%
75 58 17 0

Matches

Lituania U21
Lituania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2014
LTU
Lituania U21
1 - 2
Letonia U21
LVA
45%
26%
29%
44 43 1 0
19 Nov. 2013
MDA
Moldavia U21
3 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
47%
26%
27%
46 48 2 -2
15 Oct. 2013
ENG
Inglaterra U21
5 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
88%
10%
2%
46 80 34 0
11 Oct. 2013
WAL
Gales U21
2 - 0
Lituania U21
LTU
69%
19%
11%
46 59 13 0
05 Sep. 2013
LTU
Lituania U21
0 - 1
Finlandia U21
FIN
24%
26%
50%
47 57 10 -1