Biesme vs Grand-Leez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
14º
3º
56
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biesme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARQ
1 - 0
BIE
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BIE
2 - 1
MEU
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 5
BIE
48%
22%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BIE
6 - 1
SHA
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 0
BIE
27%
21%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Grand-Leez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPY
3 - 1
GRA
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
10 - 2
AND
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
USD
1 - 2
GRA
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
NIS
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |