Runcorn Town FC vs Irlam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 3
RUN
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
RUN
1 - 0
HEM
77%
13%
10%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HEM
1 - 1
RUN
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
AIR
4 - 3
RUN
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FRI
2 - 1
RUN
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Irlam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 2
IRL
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 2
IRL
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
IRL
1 - 2
ABB
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
IRL
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |